International Journal of Medical Sciences

Impact factor

17 November 2018

ISSN 1449-1907 News feeds of published articles

Manuscript login | Account

open access Global reach, higher impact

Journal of Genomics in PubMed Central. Submit manuscript now...


Journal of Cancer

International Journal of Biological Sciences

Journal of Genomics

Journal of Bone and Joint Infection (JBJI)


Journal of Biomedicine


PubMed Central Indexed in Journal Impact Factor

Int J Med Sci 2013; 10(4):382-384. doi:10.7150/ijms.5689

Short Research Communication

Epidemiological Determinants of Successful Vaccine Development

Hiroshi Nishiura1,2✉, Kenji Mizumoto1,3

1. School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Level 6, Core F, Cyberport 3, 100 Cyberport Road, Pokfulam, Hong Kong SAR, China.
2. PRESTO, Japan Science and Technology Agency, 4-1-8 Honcho Kawaguchi, Saitama, 332-0012 Japan.
3. Department of International Health, Nagasaki University Institute of Tropical Medicine and GCOE, 1-12-4 Sakamoto, Nagasaki, 852-8523 Japan.


Epidemiological determinants of successful vaccine development were explored using measurable biological variables including antigenic stability and requirement of T-cell immunity. Employing a logistic regression model, we demonstrate that a high affinity with blood and immune cells and pathogen interactions (e.g. interference) would be the risk factors of failure for vaccine development.

Keywords: Vaccination, epidemiology, infectious disease, immunization, statistical model.

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY-NC) License. See for full terms and conditions.
How to cite this article:
Nishiura H, Mizumoto K. Epidemiological Determinants of Successful Vaccine Development. Int J Med Sci 2013; 10(4):382-384. doi:10.7150/ijms.5689. Available from